Token Analysis & Risk Evaluation
Learn the multi-dimensional analysis process that evaluates tokens and calculates comprehensive risk scores.
Once a token passes initial discovery filters, it enters the comprehensive analysis phase where Agentical performs deep multi-dimensional evaluation. This is where surface-level data transforms into actionable intelligence, where hundreds of data points combine into a single risk score, and where your agent determines whether an opportunity warrants capital deployment. Understanding this analysis process reveals how Agentical separates promising opportunities from sophisticated scams.
The Analysis Framework
From Data to Intelligence
Token analysis is not a single evaluation but a coordinated examination across multiple dimensions, each providing unique insights into token viability and risk.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis Approach:
Token Analysis Architecture
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Raw Token Data
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┌─────────────┴─────────────┐
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Data Collection Parallel Analysis
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┌────┴────┬────┬────┬────┬────┐
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
Social Holder Chart Security Trans Contract
Analysis Dist Pattern Review Flows Audit
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
└────┬────┴────┴────┴────┴────┘
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Data Aggregation
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Risk Scoring Engine
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Final Risk Score (0-100)
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Decision: Trade/RejectEach analysis dimension operates independently but contributes to the holistic risk assessment. A token might score excellently in social metrics but fail holder distribution analysis, and the system must weigh these competing signals appropriately.
Analysis Depth Levels
Not all tokens receive identical analysis depth. The system employs tiered analysis based on initial promise.
Tiered Analysis Strategy:
This tiered approach ensures computational resources focus on the most promising opportunities while quickly discarding poor matches.
Core Analysis Dimensions
Social Media Analysis
Social analysis evaluates community presence, engagement quality, and sentiment across platforms.
Twitter/X Deep Analysis:
Twitter Analysis Example:
Telegram Group Analysis:
Holder Distribution Analysis
Analyzing how tokens are distributed across wallets reveals concentration risks and manipulation patterns.
Distribution Pattern Recognition:
Holder Analysis Example:
Chart Pattern & Technical Analysis
Technical analysis examines price action, volume, and market behavior patterns.
Multi-Timeframe Chart Analysis:
Chart Pattern Examples:
Technical Analysis Example:
Transaction Pattern Analysis
Examining transaction flows reveals buying/selling dynamics and potential manipulation.
Transaction Flow Analysis:
Transaction Analysis Example:
Security & Contract Analysis
Automated smart contract review identifies technical risks and vulnerabilities.
Contract Security Evaluation:
Security Analysis Example:
Risk Score Calculation
Weighted Scoring Model
All analysis dimensions combine into a single comprehensive risk score through weighted calculation.
Risk Score Formula:
Complete Risk Assessment Example
Here's a full risk evaluation from raw scores to final decision:
Analysis Quality Assurance
Confidence Scoring
Beyond risk scores, the system tracks confidence in its analysis.
Confidence Metrics:
Analysis Validation
Multiple validation checks ensure analysis accuracy.
Validation Checkpoints:
Analysis Best Practices
Interpreting Analysis Results
Understanding what analysis scores mean in practice helps set appropriate expectations.
Score Interpretation Guide:
High Scores (80-100) indicate exceptional opportunities where multiple positive factors align. These represent the top 5-10% of analyzed tokens. However, even high scores don't guarantee profits—market conditions and timing still matter.
Good Scores (65-80) represent solid opportunities with acceptable risk profiles. The majority of successful trades come from this range. These tokens have no major red flags and several positive indicators.
Moderate Scores (55-65) suggest mixed signals with both positive and negative factors. Aggressive strategies may trade these, but conservative approaches typically pass. Extra scrutiny warranted.
Low Scores (40-55) indicate significant concerns outweighing positives. Most strategies should avoid these tokens. High risk of loss.
Very Low Scores (<40) reveal serious problems—potential scams, manipulation patterns, or fundamental flaws. Auto-reject appropriate.
Analysis Limitations
Understanding what analysis cannot do is as important as knowing its capabilities.
Analysis Boundaries:
Analysis cannot predict unexpected events like sudden developer abandonment, exchange listings, viral social media moments, or regulatory actions. It evaluates current state and patterns, not future unpredictable catalysts.
Analysis cannot guarantee profits. High-scoring tokens can still fail if market conditions deteriorate, broader crypto markets crash, or unforeseen negative events occur.
Analysis reflects data quality. If developers fake social engagement well enough or hide connected wallets cleverly, analysis may miss these deceptions initially.
The Intelligence Layer
Token analysis and risk evaluation transform Agentical from simple automation into genuine intelligence. Every analyzed token receives scrutiny across dozens of dimensions, each examination contributing to a holistic understanding of opportunity versus risk. This multi-layered approach catches what single-dimensional analysis misses—the sophisticated scam with great social metrics but terrible holder distribution, or the diamond in the rough with modest social presence but exceptional technical setup and security.
The risk score synthesizing all this analysis provides a single, actionable metric while preserving the nuance of underlying components. When your agent approves a trade, it's not a guess or simple rule-following—it's the conclusion of comprehensive, multi-dimensional intelligence gathering and synthesis working exactly as you configured it.
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